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Red36
69427.3
493012.4
33411.5
Blue39
63912.7
409311.5
445827.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801001203639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#13
27.30.8
20.619.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
blue by 0.1
27.40.2
21.521.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
4930
#39
12.41.3
12.711.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 0.3
639
#28
12.70.3
8.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Third
334
#43
11.51.3
14.313.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Level
4093
#38
11.50.3
10.910.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed