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Red45
300322.8
53312.6
311713.1
Blue68
140524.5
222824.8
234015.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444701001502002504568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#11
22.80.5
16.416.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 2.0
2228
#20
24.81.6
18.319.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End5.5
Second
3117
#53
13.10.3
11.011.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 11.4
24.52.3
13.716.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Third
533
#33
12.60.5
12.813.4
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 2.8
2340
#24
15.52.3
9.912.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned