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Red48
2740.1
151811.7
37813.7
Blue30
379919.3
574024.4
499112.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654302060801004830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
40.10.5
34.433.8
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 15.7
5740
#15
24.40.9
19.418.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
378
#19
13.70.9
12.511.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 5.5
3799
#18
19.31.3
9.58.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Third
1518
#48
11.70.9
9.28.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 1.0
4991
#45
12.60.8
12.511.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed