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Red77
151118.4
691113.4
155915.5
Blue70
150726.6
703613.0
317329.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425720801007770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#29
18.41.9
13.715.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 10.8
29.10.7
22.022.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Second
1559
#27
15.51.3
16.017.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 11.1
1507
#14
26.61.1
16.817.9
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Third
6911
#25
13.41.1
10.211.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 0.4
7036
#32
13.01.1
11.112.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned