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Red40
318121.2
130811.0
409311.5
Blue105
300322.8
140524.5
445827.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063208010040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#16
21.20.0
16.416.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
blue by 6.2
27.42.4
21.423.8
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
4093
#38
11.50.1
10.610.5
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 13.0
24.54.0
16.120.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Third
1308
#36
11.00.1
11.611.5
Auto6.4
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 11.8
3003
#11
22.84.0
16.920.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed