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Red25
63538.7
2716.3
57816.1
Blue42
379919.3
53312.6
493012.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3737202530404550552542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#42
16.10.6
13.012.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.0
blue by 3.1
3799
#18
19.30.8
8.39.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Second
6353
#52
8.71.0
6.25.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 3.9
533
#33
12.60.8
13.414.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Third
271
#51
6.31.0
14.613.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 6.2
4930
#39
12.40.8
11.412.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed