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Red40
574024.4
311713.1
22910.0
Blue96
151118.4
317329.1
34026.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42722060801001204096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#15
24.40.5
18.418.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
blue by 4.8
29.11.3
22.624.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Second
3117
#53
13.10.4
11.310.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 13.3
340
#2
26.41.3
22.924.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
Third
229
#41
10.00.7
11.510.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 8.4
1511
#29
18.42.2
15.617.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned