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Red49
42421.0
37813.7
552819.9
Blue32
703613.0
33411.5
662115.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534101020306070804932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#6
21.00.2
15.214.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 5.2
6621
#21
15.80.7
13.212.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Second
5528
#23
19.90.1
19.419.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End2.3
red by 6.9
7036
#32
13.00.7
12.311.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
378
#19
13.70.2
11.611.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
red by 2.2
334
#43
11.50.7
13.012.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed