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Red21
15857.5
304412.7
691113.4
Blue77
686820.1
770915.0
2740.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29710204060801001202177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#25
13.40.8
11.410.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 26.7
27
#1
40.11.2
33.835.1
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Second
3044
#44
12.71.3
10.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 7.4
6868
#22
20.12.0
12.514.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
1585
#46
7.51.3
9.17.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 7.5
7709
#37
15.02.0
12.514.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed