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Red72
159128.7
112619.4
859512.8
Blue56
155915.5
146827.1
383815.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495902040801001207256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#10
28.72.8
18.521.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.1
End2.7
red by 1.5
27.10.1
20.320.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Second
1126
#17
19.41.7
16.618.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 3.9
3838
#35
15.50.1
14.414.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
8595
#30
12.82.8
10.213.0
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 2.7
1559
#27
15.50.1
17.217.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed