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Red63
319323.4
63912.7
150726.6
Blue25
79036.1
630020.4
395113.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473720304050606325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#14
26.60.8
17.918.7
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 6.1
6300
#47
20.40.6
18.818.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
23.40.8
14.515.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 10.1
3951
#31
13.31.1
9.38.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
639
#28
12.70.8
8.69.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
red by 6.6
7903
#49
6.11.1
6.45.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed