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Red59
151811.7
691113.4
686820.1
Blue37
14504.9
552819.9
409311.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374301001505937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6868
#22
20.12.2
14.516.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 0.2
5528
#23
19.90.1
19.319.2
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Second
6911
#25
13.41.3
10.611.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 1.9
4093
#38
11.50.1
10.510.4
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Third
1518
#48
11.72.2
8.911.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 6.8
1450
#54
4.90.1
8.58.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed