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Red98
2740.1
42421.0
159128.7
Blue56
69427.3
151118.4
140524.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816420401001201409856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
40.11.8
35.136.8
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 12.7
694
#13
27.30.3
22.222.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Second
1591
#10
28.73.0
21.224.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.1
End2.7
red by 4.1
24.50.5
20.019.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Third
424
#6
21.03.0
14.917.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 2.7
1511
#29
18.40.5
17.817.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed