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Red64
130811.0
499112.6
69427.3
Blue54
2716.3
150726.6
112619.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060706454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#13
27.31.2
19.120.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
red by 0.8
1507
#14
26.61.2
15.016.2
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
4991
#45
12.61.6
12.914.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 6.8
1126
#17
19.41.0
15.516.5
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
1308
#36
11.02.0
9.011.0
Auto6.4
Teleop3.8
End0.8
red by 4.8
271
#51
6.31.2
10.511.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed