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Red76
770915.0
301532.0
34026.4
Blue91
146827.1
234015.5
2740.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656040507080907691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.6
28.830.4
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
blue by 8.1
27
#1
40.12.1
31.934.0
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Second
340
#2
26.41.6
19.220.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
blue by 0.7
27.13.4
15.318.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Third
7709
#37
15.02.0
10.112.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 0.5
2340
#24
15.53.4
7.911.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed