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Red56
150726.6
15857.5
493012.4
Blue71
859512.8
383815.5
301532.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396602060801005671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#14
26.60.8
18.719.5
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
blue by 5.4
32.00.6
29.129.7
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Second
4930
#39
12.40.8
12.213.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 3.1
3838
#35
15.51.1
14.315.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
1585
#46
7.50.8
7.78.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 5.3
8595
#30
12.81.1
13.014.0
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned