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Red51
574024.4
19115.4
814515.3
Blue67
319323.4
395113.3
146827.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484845505560655167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#15
24.40.5
18.018.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
blue by 2.8
27.12.6
20.222.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Second
191
#26
15.40.8
13.414.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6
blue by 8.0
23.42.6
15.317.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Third
8145
#34
15.30.8
12.012.9
Auto7.8
Teleop6.6
End0.9
red by 2.0
3951
#31
13.32.6
8.210.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed