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Red56
395113.3
34026.4
42421.0
Blue49
112619.4
318121.2
304412.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60492040801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
26.40.1
24.524.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
red by 5.2
3181
#16
21.20.1
16.716.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Second
424
#6
21.00.2
17.917.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
1126
#17
19.40.1
18.418.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
3951
#31
13.30.2
10.810.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 0.6
3044
#44
12.70.2
10.210.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed