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Red40
53312.6
686820.1
22910.0
Blue62
159128.7
155915.5
319323.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325001020406070804062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6868
#22
20.11.0
11.112.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 8.6
1591
#10
28.71.0
15.616.6
Auto11.9
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Second
533
#33
12.61.0
11.312.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 10.7
23.41.0
12.013.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Third
229
#41
10.01.0
8.99.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 5.5
1559
#27
15.50.8
15.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed