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Red31
814515.3
662115.8
14504.9
Blue52
493012.4
151118.4
12017.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274701020406070803152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6621
#21
15.80.5
10.310.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End2.1
blue by 2.6
1511
#29
18.40.8
13.614.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Second
8145
#34
15.30.5
7.68.1
Auto7.8
Teleop6.6
End0.9
blue by 2.1
120
#40
17.40.8
14.315.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
1450
#54
4.90.5
8.89.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 7.6
4930
#39
12.40.8
12.112.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed