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Red47
662115.8
112619.4
53312.6
Blue29
19115.4
859512.8
151811.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537020801004729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#17
19.40.8
18.617.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 4.0
191
#26
15.40.7
13.813.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Second
6621
#21
15.81.3
16.114.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End2.1
red by 3.0
8595
#30
12.80.7
11.811.1
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Third
533
#33
12.61.3
12.911.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 0.9
1518
#48
11.70.7
10.09.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed