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Red38
33411.5
304412.7
151118.4
Blue82
79036.1
87023.9
146827.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801003882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#29
18.40.5
17.116.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 8.8
27.10.9
22.022.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Second
3044
#44
12.70.5
10.49.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 11.3
870
#12
23.90.9
22.022.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.4
Third
334
#43
11.50.5
10.39.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 5.4
7903
#49
6.10.9
6.97.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned