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Red42
53312.6
630020.4
130811.0
Blue81
318121.2
395113.3
2740.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4483020601001201404281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#47
20.40.2
20.420.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 19.6
27
#1
40.10.6
37.237.8
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Second
533
#33
12.60.2
12.912.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 8.6
3181
#16
21.20.6
20.721.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Third
1308
#36
11.00.2
11.311.0
Auto6.4
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 2.2
3951
#31
13.30.8
12.413.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed