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Red44
15857.5
311713.1
151118.4
Blue79
301532.0
33411.5
112619.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366802060801001204479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#29
18.40.8
16.817.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 13.6
32.01.3
30.131.4
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Second
3117
#53
13.10.5
12.613.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 6.3
1126
#17
19.41.3
17.819.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
1585
#46
7.50.8
6.77.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 4.1
334
#43
11.51.9
9.711.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned