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Red60
686820.1
150726.6
552819.9
Blue41
56414.0
87023.9
2716.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7945020601001201406041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#14
26.60.7
26.325.6
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 2.6
870
#12
23.90.3
23.523.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.4
Second
6868
#22
20.10.7
20.419.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 6.1
564
#50
14.00.3
14.314.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Third
5528
#23
19.90.5
20.419.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End2.3
red by 13.6
271
#51
6.30.3
6.66.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed