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Red68
12017.4
379919.3
222824.8
Blue70
22910.0
146827.1
691113.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62482040801001206870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#20
24.80.9
23.224.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End5.5
blue by 2.3
27.11.0
23.124.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Second
3799
#18
19.31.3
14.916.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 5.9
6911
#25
13.40.7
12.713.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
120
#40
17.41.3
16.117.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End1.6
red by 7.5
229
#41
10.01.0
9.010.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned