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Red74
34026.4
140524.5
304412.7
Blue42
859512.8
63538.7
493012.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69290204060801001207442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
26.41.1
24.725.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
red by 13.6
8595
#30
12.81.1
11.712.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Second
24.51.6
21.523.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
red by 12.1
4930
#39
12.41.1
11.412.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
3044
#44
12.71.6
11.112.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 3.9
6353
#52
8.71.1
7.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed