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Red58
37813.7
300322.8
63912.7
Blue54
814515.3
770915.0
151811.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5040102030607080905854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#11
22.81.4
20.121.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 7.5
8145
#34
15.31.6
13.715.3
Auto7.8
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Second
378
#19
13.71.4
12.413.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 1.3
7709
#37
15.01.6
13.415.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
639
#28
12.71.4
11.412.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
red by 1.0
1518
#48
11.71.6
10.111.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed