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Red63
159133.1
205315.2
112614.3
Blue102
317332.6
222824.7
540636.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712205010015020063102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.9
37.536.5
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End2.7
blue by 2.9
36.00.1
39.539.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Second
2053
#23
15.20.9
12.211.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 17.4
32.60.1
39.038.8
Auto10.0
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Third
1126
#18
14.30.9
17.516.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 10.4
24.70.1
25.825.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed91%Ensemble oddsEarned