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Red30
34014.8
686813.5
155910.1
Blue35
379920.7
15187.6
63915.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625501001502002503035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#30
14.81.7
23.722.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 6.0
3799
#15
20.71.4
23.922.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Second
6868
#22
13.52.0
17.515.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 2.3
639
#19
15.71.4
16.615.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
1559
#27
10.11.7
13.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
1518
#24
7.61.7
9.98.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed