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Red73
19116.1
999616.7
42419.9
Blue58
301529.8
99938.1
57813.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725602040801001201407358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#9
19.90.5
26.026.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 9.9
3015
#10
29.80.2
32.632.9
Auto12.4
Teleop14.5
End2.9
Second
16.70.8
9.910.7
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
red by 3.0
578
#12
13.70.2
15.816.1
Auto8.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Third
191
#3
16.10.5
19.920.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 8.0
9993
#11
8.10.4
3.94.3
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed