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Red39
57813.7
99905.6
63915.7
Blue29
999616.7
39516.0
151115.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405302060801001201403929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#19
15.70.4
15.214.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 1.0
16.71.1
10.79.5
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
Second
578
#12
13.70.4
16.115.7
Auto8.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 1.3
1511
#25
15.00.7
19.518.8
Auto8.7
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
9990
#16
5.60.6
8.57.8
Auto0.2
Teleop3.9
End1.2
blue by 0.4
3951
#29
6.00.7
9.28.5
Auto5.4
Teleop-0.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed