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Red44
140519.8
686813.5
493010.0
Blue30
112614.3
34014.8
3789.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554203040506070804430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#20
19.80.7
22.922.2
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 5.0
340
#30
14.81.3
22.120.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Second
6868
#22
13.50.7
15.414.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 0.8
1126
#18
14.31.3
16.515.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Third
4930
#14
10.00.7
10.69.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End1.2
red by 0.3
378
#31
9.71.4
10.89.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed