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Red40
318115.9
15187.6
222824.7
Blue72
150727.5
540636.0
99938.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518201001504072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
25.624.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
blue by 11.3
36.00.2
39.339.5
Auto11.7
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Second
3181
#21
15.90.7
16.716.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 11.6
27.50.2
25.725.9
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
1518
#24
7.60.8
8.27.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 0.5
9993
#11
8.10.3
4.34.6
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsMissed