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Red46
39516.0
300316.8
301529.8
Blue63
222824.7
150727.5
112614.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587202040801001204663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#10
29.80.6
31.030.4
Auto12.4
Teleop14.5
End2.9
red by 2.3
27.50.1
26.126.0
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Second
3003
#17
16.80.6
17.116.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
blue by 7.9
24.70.1
23.323.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
3951
#29
6.00.6
6.66.0
Auto5.4
Teleop-0.1
End0.7
blue by 8.3
1126
#18
14.30.1
14.714.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed