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Red47
205315.2
3789.7
15187.6
Blue21
42419.9
23409.5
99905.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294502060801001204721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#23
15.20.9
12.013.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 4.7
424
#9
19.91.2
20.819.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Second
378
#31
9.70.9
8.89.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
red by 0.2
2340
#28
9.51.2
10.79.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End0.9
Third
1518
#24
7.60.9
7.18.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End1.3
red by 2.0
9990
#16
5.62.1
8.16.0
Auto0.2
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed