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Red62
540636.0
155910.1
159133.1
Blue88
999616.7
403934.8
34014.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96700501502006288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.4
37.936.4
Auto11.7
Teleop20.0
End4.3
red by 1.2
34.80.3
34.134.4
Auto14.6
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Second
33.11.4
34.232.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End2.7
red by 16.4
16.70.5
12.513.0
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
Third
1559
#27
10.11.4
11.510.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 4.7
340
#30
14.80.3
15.115.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned