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Red81
150727.5
140519.8
222824.7
Blue60
999616.7
686813.5
205315.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7941020601001201401608160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.0
26.026.0
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 10.8
16.70.8
13.013.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
Second
24.70.0
23.323.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
red by 9.5
2053
#23
15.20.5
13.013.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
1405
#20
19.80.0
18.318.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 6.3
6868
#22
13.50.5
11.211.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4