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Red114
317332.6
15187.6
540636.0
Blue27
940620.3
99938.1
379920.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915002040608010012014016011427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.5
36.436.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.0
End4.3
red by 15.2
3799
#15
20.70.6
21.521.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Second
32.60.5
33.033.5
Auto10.0
Teleop21.9
End0.7
red by 12.3
9406
#13
20.30.6
20.920.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Third
1518
#24
7.60.5
8.08.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 0.5
9993
#11
8.10.9
9.48.5
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.0