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Red71
34014.8
19116.1
301529.8
Blue53
300316.8
42419.9
57813.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71520204060801001201407153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#10
29.80.0
30.430.4
Auto12.4
Teleop14.5
End2.9
red by 9.9
424
#9
19.90.1
19.619.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Second
191
#3
16.10.0
16.716.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 0.7
3003
#17
16.80.1
16.616.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Third
340
#30
14.80.0
15.415.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End0.5
red by 1.1
578
#12
13.70.1
13.413.4
Auto8.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8