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Red67
179633.6
69698.5
88717.5
Blue73
2015.6
4820.7
317117.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3754102030506070806773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.63.3
16.820.0
Auto13.2
Teleop16.3
End4.0
red by 12.9
48
#6
20.70.7
15.514.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End0.7
Second
6969
#31
8.53.3
8.712.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 9.2
3171
#16
17.70.7
15.414.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
8871
#37
7.53.3
10.013.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 8.1
20
#7
15.60.7
16.015.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed