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Red53
35326.8
260122.3
30046.5
Blue32
115515.4
41228.2
68063.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403925303545505332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#1
26.81.8
12.214.1
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
red by 11.4
1155
#11
15.40.9
10.39.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.7
Second
2601
#15
22.31.8
16.618.5
Auto11.5
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 14.1
4122
#28
8.20.9
13.112.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Third
3004
#20
6.51.8
7.59.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
red by 2.8
6806
#41
3.70.9
11.710.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed