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Red49
115515.4
28716.6
17979.8
Blue42
45718.3
188419.8
88717.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001020506070804942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#27
16.61.9
11.513.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
blue by 3.2
19.80.3
13.513.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Second
1155
#11
15.41.9
9.411.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.7
red by 7.1
4571
#47
8.30.3
7.87.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Third
1797
#10
9.81.9
6.48.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
red by 2.3
8871
#37
7.50.3
13.313.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed