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Red14
2506.9
64014.5
260122.3
Blue18
28755.2
3548.6
81015.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433201020506070801418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#15
22.32.7
18.515.8
Auto11.5
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 6.6
810
#12
15.71.4
10.89.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Second
250
#32
6.92.7
9.46.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.0
blue by 1.7
354
#19
8.61.4
10.38.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Third
6401
#30
4.52.7
10.07.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 0.7
2875
#33
5.21.4
9.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed