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Red38
64014.5
2015.6
35814.6
Blue19
659312.9
22653.1
2506.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372701020506070803819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#7
15.60.1
15.115.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 2.7
6593
#17
12.90.8
12.712.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Second
358
#18
14.60.1
9.79.8
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
red by 7.7
250
#32
6.90.8
6.86.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.0
Third
6401
#30
4.50.1
7.37.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
red by 1.4
2265
#42
3.10.8
6.45.6
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed