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Red65
88717.5
279113.4
28716.6
Blue7
68804.6
97135.9
3695.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290102040607080657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#27
16.60.1
13.313.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
red by 10.7
9713
#39
5.92.4
11.28.8
Auto4.4
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Second
13.40.1
14.014.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End1.6
red by 8.3
369
#38
5.12.4
8.86.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Third
8871
#37
7.50.1
13.013.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End2.1
red by 2.9
6880
#48
4.62.4
8.25.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed