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Red68
750411.0
4820.7
573622.1
Blue30
32047.4
260122.3
28755.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634010203040506070806830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.13.1
16.619.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 0.2
2601
#15
22.30.8
15.815.0
Auto11.5
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
48
#6
20.73.1
15.518.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End0.7
red by 13.3
3204
#25
7.40.8
8.67.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Third
7504
#34
11.03.1
7.811.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
red by 5.8
2875
#33
5.20.8
8.17.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed