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Red52
115515.4
77488.1
362413.8
Blue7
76682.1
77185.3
73183.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32240102040506070527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#11
15.42.4
11.313.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.7
red by 10.1
7718
#29
5.32.0
8.46.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Second
3624
#21
13.82.4
11.413.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 10.7
7318
#46
3.12.0
7.25.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End0.5
Third
7748
#24
8.12.4
5.37.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
red by 6.0
7668
#36
2.12.0
7.25.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed