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Red38
964210.3
81015.7
529811.7
Blue39
317117.7
26314.7
41228.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32510204060803839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#12
15.70.6
9.410.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 2.0
3171
#16
17.70.5
14.814.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Second
11.70.6
12.613.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
blue by 2.9
263
#14
14.70.5
16.616.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
9642
#26
10.30.6
8.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
red by 2.0
4122
#28
8.20.5
12.511.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed