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Red42
3548.6
901617.9
69698.5
Blue5
395011.2
68063.7
64636.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33335152025303540425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#13
17.91.2
10.912.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 6.8
3950
#22
11.22.8
11.48.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Second
354
#19
8.61.2
8.910.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
red by 2.2
6463
#35
6.42.8
10.27.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Third
6969
#31
8.51.2
9.710.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
red by 4.8
6806
#41
3.72.8
8.65.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed